I don’t have a lot of time but I have a lot of opinions so given the last few debates here is how the talking heads are doing in my estimation.
Jon Huntsman is the adult in the room and it isn’t doing him any favors with his own party but it’s giving him support from the other side.
Herman Cain is haha oh wait.
Ron Paul is surprisingly rational when it comes to understanding concepts like bombing other people pisses them off and makes them want to bomb us. Unfortunately, he’s still a racist, classist, sexist old dude.
Michele Bachmann is still convinced she’s a serious candidate, no one else is. When Newt Gingrich can make fun of you for being factually inaccurate you should really give up.
Rick Perry is not Tim Tebow and is not entirely sure that Mexico and Iran aren’t in cahoots. Too dumb to function. Bravo Texas, you present us with such quality.
Newt Gingrich is not nearly as smart as he thinks he is, but is convincing a lot of Republicans otherwise. He’s just cocky enough to make it work.
Mitt Romney has no real opinions and still might get to be the POTUS.
Rick Santorum is not real.
With the latest scandalous allegation that’s been lobbed at Herman Cain (that he carried on a thirteen-year affair with a woman named Ginger White), and suggestions from the Cain camp that discussions are occurring as to how to proceed, the folks at The Atlantic ask a very good question: if Cain drops out of this thing, who stands to benefit? We agree with their analysis — the obvious and most consequential conclusion is “not Mitt.” A Cain withdrawal would be the first dropout by a well-polling candidate, and those voters will almost assuredly continue seeking a non-Mitt alternative. Paging Newt Gingrich, perhaps? (Photo by John Trainor) source
Also, the guy is a Republican, so Cain can’t claim that this is an coordinated attack from the “Democrat machine.” At least, he says he’s a Republican. He could be lying. So could Cain’s accuser. So could Cain! So could everybody!
Update Number 1 for the Presidential Wannabes
It has been two debates since my first major post about this year’s crop of presidential hopefuls so it’s about time for an update.
Herman Cain is coming out stronger and stronger with the base, but as his fellows have caught on they’ve also upped their game attacking his 9-9-9 plan, something I’d really prefer to not call an economic plan since it demonstrates zero knowledge of how a Value Added Tax and a market economy work together and who they affect. At some point, he won’t be able to just keep saying that every analysis of the plan but his is wrong and he’ll be forced to face some unpleasant facts. Until then however, he’s congenial, he plays above the belt, and he “doesn’t speak politician” which goes down smoothly in the current political atmosphere and I think he’ll continue to do well, especially in contrast to some of his peers that can’t hold it together during debates.
Rick Perry should just stop now. He might win Texas, and by merit of being a white male, a couple of other southern states but on the over all I think he’s nearly done with his run. He can’t perform in debates, he’s inconsistent, and to quote Dead Presidents he looks like a lego man. He isn’t the worst candidate running, but I don’t consider him a serious contended for the nomination anymore. His strategy right now seems to be to attack people ad hom, and it isn’t working out well.
Speaking of inconsistent, Mitt Romney is doing pretty well for a guy that can’t keep an opinion for more than a few weeks at a time. He has a lot of haters right now, mostly because the other candidates know that despite losing some of his ground to Herman Cain he’s still the top pick for the nomination. He’s popular in the states he’s governed, and he has a solid track record as a politician. He’s gotten a little heat for being a Mormon recently, as was to be expected, but he’s handled it nicely. He and Perry were having a little bitch fit tonight,but he came out on top in the end. I still think he’ll end up with the nomination.
Newt Gingrich faired shockingly well at tonight’s debate, and he’s been doing a little better in the polls recently. However, he won’t win the nomination, and I still hold that he’s too smart to be in this race. He’s had some nice quips and one liners in the news, including my personal favorite about Herman Cain “strolling for president”. Newt is a smart man, and an experienced man, but he’s just one of those guys that people don’t really like and aren’t entirely sure why they don’t like. He isn’t going much further in the race, he’s about topped out.
Michele Bachmann says some ignorant shit, and I hate that she’s in the national spotlight. I doubt she’ll get the nomination, so for me she’s just a hateful woman mouthing off about all of her peers and saying incredibly off base and offensive things, as well as some beyond stupid ones. “The devil is in the details”….settle down, Michele.
Ron Paul introduced himself tonight as “I’m Congressman Ron Paul from Texas. I’m the champion of liberty.” Enough said.
Jon Huntsman….my opinion remains the same. He’s the best candidate the GOP has, and he’s the least likely to win the nomination.
I still refuse to recognize Santorum as a real candidate, so the messages about that can cease and desist. I know he’s running, but he won’t win and he isn’t worth discussing (although the shout out to his daughter was super cute, as I’m sure he intended it to be.)
Despite the fact that I feel, Mr. Cain, your views are hopelessly backward, I’m curious: didn’t you get the memo that even when you hate gay people, you don’t say publicly that being gay is a choice? It’s hard enough for young gay people who are struggling with self-hate; you have to make them into masochists, who secretly crave it because they refuse to change. And threatening to reinstate “Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell” during your presidency, when it’s only been abolished for five minutes, just makes you seem vindictive and a kill-joy.
Part of me, truthfully, doesn’t want to deal with you, Mr. Cain. I want to believe that you are on the Tea Party fringe, that your opinions really don’t matter that much, and that this is just more silly Republican cant. But the last time I thought that, we ended up with George W. Bush for eight years, which means his presidency wasn’t a fluke: someone — and I haven’t found him to confront him personally because no-one I know will admit to voting for Bush the first time — wanted him for four more years. And the fact is, Obama has shown that it is not inconceivable that Americans will vote for a black president. Which also means you have a good chance of winning.
I felt weary when I saw you on The View, because I’m just so tired; tired of having to fight people like you, and your beliefs. It’s been less than three weeks since Jamey Rodemeyer killed himself; he’s been all over the news, so you must have heard of him. You must know how he was bullied at school; and yet you choose to stand with the bullies. You could have gone on The View, and said, “While I disagree politically with gay marriage, I won’t tolerate hate. We as a country should mourn that young man.” But you’re a politician, and that would have cost you votes.
I don’t want to focus on you, Herman Cain, but the truth is that you, and people like you, are responsible for the Jamey Rodemeyers. And my fear is that with this latest appearance, there may be a few more like them tomorrow having watched you. It’s one thing to be in your forties, like me, and to feel worn down by the hate; at least I can build a wall against you, using concrete mixed from insane ex-boyfriends, recovering alcoholism, coming-out, rallies, therapy, activism, self-love, and basic gay-survival techniques. But how do you protect a child from a man who comes on the TV screen, a man who says that he wants to be president, and who tells her that she doesn’t exist, or shouldn’t. The child may be able to ignore him, and then again she may kill herself. And it’s not just the bullies in the hallways before class that our gay children are dodging, it’s bullies like you, and Michelle Bachmann, standing at podiums during debates, saying the same things that the 14-year-old bullies are saying outside their lockers, just more eloquently, and better dressed."
“I don’t have facts to back this up, but I happen to believe…”: Herman Cain is downright unimpressed with Occupy Wall Street, and he’s not afraid to let us know it. We suspect those of you who are sympathetic to (or participating in) this movement probably weren’t likely Cain voters anyways, but his strident denunciation here probably won’t win him any converts: “It is not a person’s fault if they succeeded, it is a person’s fault if they failed.” source
That is never the way to start an answerSource: shortformblog
For better or for worse, here’s how I’m feeling about the Republican primary field at the moment. As we get closer to the primary, I’ll post updates to this. Feel free to send me any questions or comments you have afterwards.
Candidates that matter:
Michele Bachmann - She’s lost a lot of her thunder, but she’s still a top tier candidate for now. She lost her campaign manager recently, as well as the replacement being put into a consulting position so I suspect there’s a lot of turmoil going on in her camp right now. A big part of her problem is that she’s moved further and further right this season in an attempt to win the primary, but it’s isolating way too many people for it to ever be possible for her to win the general election at this point. Her straw poll numbers are down, and she’s not really a Tea Party darling anymore. Rick Perry poses the biggest threat to her, since he’s essentially her but more well spoken and male. I really doubt she’ll win the primary if trends continue.
Rick Perry - First off: Conservative governor of Texas- been there, done that, no thanks not again. He’s got a lot of evangelical Christian support, and the Southern votes that don’t go to Cain (ugh ugh ugh) will probably go to this good ol’ boy. When he entered the race, he shot up in the rankings and he’s pretty highly favored to win the primary, just under Romney if the latest numbers aren’t lying to me. He’s incredibly conservative, and frankly anyone that brags about how many people they’ve put to death isn’t anyone I want to have much power. He’s charismatic which gives him an edge, and he’s definitely an top tier candidate. I wouldn’t be surprised if he won the primary when it all comes down to it.
Herman Cain - Let’s talk about THIS GUY. He started out as a joke, really. As a person living in Atlanta, he’s always been a bit of a joke that comes up in the news every once in a while and then goes away again so imagine my surprise when he actually started winning polls. He’s right on the cusp of becoming a front runner and if his numbers keep up, he’ll kick Bachmann out of her spot and step up within the next few weeks or months. I understand his rise to popularity, he offers solutions rather than just platitudes (9-9-9), he’s running a pretty friendly campaign, and he’s very much an every man. He’s a little further removed from Washington than the rest of the candidates, and he has that business background to fall back on when his credibility is questioned. His big pit fall may be foreign policy, but he isn’t a stupid man and after he stumbled at that debate when asked about Right of Return I suspect he’s done his homework. He’ll probably win in Georgia and Florida, but I do think his race will either make or break his success in the South at the end of the day which may determine his national success. I don’t think he would turn out to be social issues president, and we’re beginning to see signs of that in his debate performance.
Newt Gingrich - He’s been in politics for too long. Honestly, he’s too smart to be in the race and I don’t think he really wants to be. He won’t win, and that’s about all there is to it.
Jon Huntsman - Jon Huntsman is my favorite of the GOP candidates. He’s very charismatic, and most importantly he has far and away the most experience of any of the candidates. He’s been ambassador to China under Obama as well as the Governor of Utah, and he performs well in debates. He’s probably the most liberal of the bunch next to Ron Paul, and is one of the 2 candidates I think has any shot of winning the general election. He’s trying to get away from the anti-science label that the GOP has been carrying around lately, and he’s much less malicious about his policy stance than most of his peers. (when I say malicious I mostly mean less hostile to everyone that isn’t like him and doesn’t share his doctrine). He seems very reasonable, and he doesn’t have that annoying tendency to come up with his own facts. He’s a solid candidate and I don’t think he’ll be going anywhere anytime soon. Unfortunately, I think the fact that he’s Mormon will hurt him in the polls, particularly in the South and I’m not sure he’s conservative enough to win the primary.
Mitt Romney - Mitt is an interesting guy. He’s the clear favorite to win the primary, he’s led nearly every poll thus far. He’s very well educated, a Harvard man, and he fairs well in the debates. Despite his liberal history he’s a pretty firm conservative. There of course has been a lot of controversy over his Romneycare plan from his days as Gov. of Massachusetts, and that follows suit with what I’ve observed from his whole campaign: People question his personal beliefs (Mormon) and his past history, but no one questions his economic decisions. He wavers a little on social issues but he has a strong economic policy background in his back pocket that is going to continue to come in handy. Even though he wavers, he’s a strong candidate and religious and conservative enough to satiate the primary voters. I suspect he’ll win the primary, and I don’t think it’s out of the question for him to win the general election. He’s not as malicious as Bachmann or Perry, so it might as well be him for the GOP candidate.
Ron Paul - There really isn’t much to say about Ron Paul. He’s been in the game forever as a hardcore Libertarian. He’s too socially liberal (let’s be honest, despite his debate performance he isn’t going to legislate jack shit that restricts anyone’s rights) to suit the GOP, and too economically deregulatory to suit the Democrats so he stands virtually no chance of winning. I think he’s in it just for the hell of it at this point. I enjoy listening to him speak, but it’s a futile race for him.
Candidates that are technically in the race but don’t matter: Gary Johnson, Fred Karger, Andy Martin, Jimmy McMillan, Tom Miller, Buddy Roemer, Rick Santorum, Vern Wuensche
He’s tied with Mitt Romney for first in one poll and ahead of Rick Perry in another. Months ago, Herman Cain’s presidential campaign seemed like something of an underdog, with many people unaware of the former pizza chain executive. Now, with multiple straw-poll wins under his belt, the non-politician is within shouting distance of the lead. RealClearPolitics has him in third place, but if you take out the two oldest polls listed, he rises to second, ahead of Rick Perry, thanks in part to consistent poll numbers and Perry’s own faltering of late. Cain’s worth watching, suddenly. Wow. (photo via Gage Skidmore) source
I feel like Im in some sort of absurd other realitySource: shortformblog
Did he give voters a free pizza with their vote? In all seriousness, though, looks like we need to eat our words … with Crazy Bread and a swig of some of that 999 Plan energy drink. Rick Perry came in second by a wide margin, which is a very bad showing for him considering his early hype.
I’m really hoping this is just because of FL’s proximity to GA or somethingSource: shortformblog